Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.036256 0.039478 0.042722 0.046227 0.049900 0.053629 0.057697
2025-11-16 0.030807 0.035542 0.040468 0.045952 0.051861 0.058018 0.064894
2025-11-23 0.027744 0.033676 0.040022 0.047264 0.055245 0.063726 0.073371
2025-11-30 0.025187 0.032039 0.039559 0.048329 0.058182 0.068824 0.081105
2025-12-07 0.022855 0.030400 0.038883 0.048971 0.060499 0.073130 0.087888
2025-12-14 0.020614 0.028654 0.037905 0.049113 0.062122 0.076560 0.093617
2025-12-21 0.019263 0.027831 0.037888 0.050266 0.064818 0.081139 0.100591
2025-12-28 0.017065 0.025803 0.036300 0.049452 0.065135 0.082926 0.104334
2026-01-04 0.015640 0.024629 0.035650 0.049670 0.066589 0.085965 0.109462
2026-01-11 0.014601 0.023869 0.035442 0.050364 0.068561 0.089570 0.115217
2026-01-18 0.013612 0.023098 0.035163 0.050922 0.070333 0.092914 0.120652
2026-01-25 0.011767 0.021047 0.033150 0.049239 0.069321 0.092917 0.122135
2026-02-01 0.010533 0.019779 0.032116 0.048773 0.069803 0.094727 0.125798
2026-02-08 0.009491 0.018709 0.031289 0.048530 0.070532 0.096816 0.129788
2026-02-15 0.009116 0.018592 0.031726 0.049906 0.073275 0.101338 0.136686
2026-02-22 0.008681 0.018351 0.031970 0.051017 0.075679 0.105451 0.143104
2026-03-01 0.008135 0.017898 0.031893 0.051686 0.077511 0.108862 0.148682
2026-03-08 0.007471 0.017208 0.031447 0.051835 0.078662 0.111428 0.153237
2026-03-15 0.007169 0.017080 0.031786 0.053027 0.081144 0.115630 0.159776
2026-03-22 0.006313 0.015966 0.030654 0.052186 0.080977 0.116538 0.162301
2026-03-29 0.005815 0.015419 0.030319 0.052412 0.082174 0.119127 0.166868
2026-04-05 0.005481 0.015131 0.030350 0.053128 0.084003 0.122500 0.172391
2026-04-12 0.005135 0.014794 0.030290 0.053705 0.085641 0.125630 0.177619